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Publications

  • Close-up image of cracked glass | © Muhammad Shaheer, Unsplash

    Challenging US dominance: China's DeepSeek model and the pluralisation of AI development

    The launch of China's DeepSeek R1 model marks a pivotal moment in the global AI landscape. This breakthrough highlights China's technological resilience and growing capacity to challenge US leadership in AI innovation, signalling a shift towards a more plural AI ecosystem.

    Briefs
    28 July, 2025 By: Clotilde Bômont, Tim Rühlig
  • Image of United States Air Force F-16 Thunderbirds | ©  David Syphers, Unsplash

    No surprises? Preparing for the US defence strategy and posture review

    The US National Defense Strategy and force posture reviews are expected by the end of the summer. Despite President Trump's recent shifts in policy on Ukraine, these documents will likely carry a message of restraint, calling for a significant reprioritisation of US resources and...

    Commentary
    24 July, 2025 By: Giuseppe Spatafora
  • Entrance to the Forbidden City in Beijing, China | © Danis Lou, Unsplash

    Same summit, different stakes?

    The upcoming EU-China summit may give the impression of business as usual. But the geopolitical context has changed. Beijing may be recognising that, despite transatlantic strains, fundamental EU–China divergences remain unchanged.

    Commentary
    22 July, 2025 By: Tim Rühlig
  • Photo of lights installation inside teamLab Planets in Tokyo, Japan | © mtsjrdl @ Unsplash

    Digital Echoes: Countering adversarial narratives in Georgia and Armenia

    The EU can use digital diplomacy to more effectively counter disinformation in Georgia and Armenia, where both foreign and domestic actors increasingly target its activities and interests. An innovative approach, based on AI-enhanced social listening, can help it navigate these...

    Briefs
    18 July, 2025 By: Leonardo De Agostini, Ondrej Ditrych
  • Handshake between Xi Jinping, on the right, and Ursula von der Leyen | © European Union, 2023 (EC - Audiovisual Service)

    China's turn towards the 'Global South': Europe is not Beijing's priority

    As the upcoming EU-China summit in Beijing approaches, China shows little willingness to make significant concessions to the EU. Clearly Beijing does not see the EU as a priority partner – even less so today than in the past. It is wooing the 'Global South', with a clear and...

    Commentary
    17 July, 2025 By: Alice Ekman
  • Maraya, Al Atheeb, Saudi Arabia | © Zhifei Zhou, Unsplash

    Calibrated engagement: Evolving relations between the EU and the Gulf region

    The launch of negotiations on a Free Trade Agreement between the EU and the UAE in April 2025 marks a shift in the EU's approach to engagement with the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and its member states. After over three decades of stalled bloc-to-bloc talks, and in a climate...

    Briefs
    10 July, 2025 By: Katarzyna Sidło
  • Stars in the sky. Credit photo: Envato elements

    When stars align: Leveraging European defence budgets to drive a dual-use tech boom

    Europe faces a security and competitiveness crisis. Increased defence spending offers an opportunity to address both challenges, unleashing a dual-use technology boom. Both the EU and its Member States have key roles to play in this effort.

    Briefs
    3 July, 2025 By: Joris Teer, Giuseppe Spatafora
  • Meeting of the North Atlantic Council at the level of Heads of State and Government - 2025 NATO Summit in The Hague. Credit photo by NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organization, CC BY-NC-ND 4.0

    NATO after the Hague summit: Building the European pillar

    In the wake of the NATO summit at The Hague, doubts over America’s commitment to European security will persist. Ultimately, this is what US disengagement looks like. Europeans must adapt to this new reality and take greater responsibility for their own defence.

    Commentary
    27 June, 2025 By: Luigi Scazzieri
  • A fighter jet mid-air

    The lifeblood of the military: The energy transition and operational capacity

    European militaries are facing the twin challenges of a hostile geopolitical environment and the global energy transition. There are solutions to fuel and electricity dependencies: prioritising biofuels and infrastructure in the short term while developing synthetic fuels, and...

    Briefs
    25 June, 2025 By: Caspar Hobhouse
  • Megaphone. Photo credit: Vatroslav Bank/Unsplash

    EU enlargement and integration: Voices of support and scepticism

    Persistent scepticism in some EU Member States highlights that the main challenges to enlargement now lie within the Union itself. EU leaders could generate broader public and political support for enlargement by presenting it as a shared security imperative.

    Briefs
    19 June, 2025 By: Bojana Zorić

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