Commentary

Donald Trump’s second term has defied expectations of isolationism. This interactive publication uses data and visuals to map the main axes of US foreign policy under Trump 2.0: military intervention, the ‘peace-business’ nexus, trade deals, and defence ties with Europe.

Branded as multilateral, the Board of Peace risks hollowing out multilateral legitimacy by centralising power and sidelining existing institutions. Gaza is its first test. For the EU, being ‘inside the room’ may mean influence without authority; real leverage will come from...

The Global Risks to the EU survey highlights the most acute security risks facing the EU in 2026, as assessed by European experts. A hybrid attack on EU critical infrastructure tops the risk list, alongside threats from Russia and a US withdrawal of security guarantees.

European countries are deeply intertwined with the United States financially. But under Trump they can no longer rely on trust, political restraint and legal certainty. Europe must reduce its financial dependence.

The US ousting of Nicolás Maduro has sent shockwaves far beyond Venezuela. Responses range from outspoken support to ambiguous reactions and strong condemnation. Washington's actions in Venezuela pose both challenges and opportunities for Russia, China and countries in Latin...

The US ousting of Maduro generates new uncertainties for Venezuela and the Caribbean. Several pathways could lead to regional instability, with direct consequences for European interests and partners. Europe must be prepared for rapid and potentially disruptive change.

Geopolitics: Russians and Americans are making plans, to which Europeans then react with panic – that's how it usually goes these days, observes Steven Everts . This week's EU summit is a crucial moment to change this.

Russia is waging a hybrid energy war on Europe and Ukraine, coupling physical attacks with targeted disinformation. The EU must reinforce infrastructure resilience and strategic communications to protect citizens and counter Moscow’s manipulation of energy security narratives.

As Washington’s overtures to Moscow grow, the EU risks being sidelined. Europe must adopt a more transactional strategy to safeguard its security and secure a voice in shaping the continent’s future security.

Europe must use the proposed reparation loan to shift the war’s trajectory: not just keeping Ukraine afloat but strengthening its defences, rebuilding critical infrastructure and pressuring Moscow. If targeted effectively, it can help Kyiv regain momentum and bolster Europe’s own...