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Publications

  • President Putin and Special Envoy Steven Witkoff shaking hands. Credit photo: Russian President’s website

    'You can’t turn Trump into Biden': Europe needs a new approach in 2026

    As Washington’s overtures to Moscow grow, the EU risks being sidelined. Europe must adopt a more transactional strategy to safeguard its security and secure a voice in shaping the continent’s future security.

    Commentary
    3 December, 2025 By: Giuseppe Spatafora
  • President Ursula von der Leyen, walking with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy leading him to press conference. Credit photo: European Union 2025

    Europe’s chance to change the war: How to make the most of the reparation loan

    Europe must use the proposed reparation loan to shift the war’s trajectory: not just keeping Ukraine afloat but strengthening its defences, rebuilding critical infrastructure and pressuring Moscow. If targeted effectively, it can help Kyiv regain momentum and bolster Europe’s own...

    Commentary
    28 November, 2025 By: Ondrej Ditrych
  • NEO Magnet Factory in Estonia | © NPM Narva, 2025 (EC - Audiovisual Service)

    False sense of security: European complacency on rare earths is the wrong answer to the US-China trade truce

    Talk of a US–China 'trade truce' may lull Europe into a false sense of security. Beijing's export controls on rare earths and critical materials remain disruptive, unpredictable and coercive. Unless the EU accelerates de-risking, its industries and defence sector will stay...

    Commentary
    27 November, 2025 By: Joris Teer
  • Sky at sunset with different phases of the moon. Credit photo: Abed Ismail/Unsplash

    The multi-aligned Sahel: Reframing the EU’s role in a crowded region

    The Sahel remains strategic for the EU amid the threats posed by terrorism, criminal networks and rising geopolitical competition. As multi-alignment reshapes regional partnerships, the EU must place diplomacy at the core of its renewed approach, focusing on shared interests...

    Briefs
    25 November, 2025 By: Ivan U. Klyszcz, Rossella Marangio
  • Light bulbs sitting on top of a snow covered ground. Photo by Anastasiia Ornarin on Unsplash:

    Shielding democracy: A Triple C framework for turning principles into practice

    Europe faces relentless foreign interference. The newly minted European Democracy Shield can turn defensive resilience into strategic resolve by boosting coordination, expanding capacities and enforcing compliance – strengthening Europe’s ability to deter hostile actors and...

    Commentary
    21 November, 2025 By: Nad’a Kovalčíková
  • 4 military boats sailing together on sea. Credit photo: EU Navfor/Atalanta/Flickr

    Ocean of stakes: The Western Indian Ocean’s complex maritime order

    Europe’s prosperity depends on secure Western Indian Ocean routes, yet governance remains fragmented. The EU can strengthen stability by supporting the alignment of vision, resources, and partnerships across a region where strategic competition is intensifying.

    Briefs
    19 November, 2025 By: Lizza Bomassi, Rossella Marangio
  • Delegates and participants at the opening day of the COP30 United Nations Climate Change Conference in Belém, Pará, Brazil | ©  European Union, 2025

    Paris Agreement to power politics: The EU's climate leadership in a time of contestation

    As global climate ambition stalls and geopolitical rivalry deepens, the EU faces a choice: retreat or compete. Europe must recast climate diplomacy as a strategy for energy security and industrial strength – and seize its chance to lead.

    Commentary
    18 November, 2025 By: Caspar Hobhouse
  • U.S. Navy aircraft carrier Gerald R. Ford under a bright sun, an American flag waving prominently. Several fighter jets are parked on the flight deck, while a formation of military aircraft flies overhead against a blue sky with scattered clouds. Credit photo:  U.S. Department of Defense. The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoW) visual information does not imply or constitute DoW endorsement.

    Warm waters: The Caribbean between counter-narcotics operations and the prospects of regime change

    A major US military build-up is under way in the Caribbean, officially to target drug-trafficking networks. But the scale of the deployment raises questions about possible regime-change ambitions in Venezuela and reflects the broader foreign-policy experiments shaping Trump’s...

    Commentary
    14 November, 2025 By: Giuseppe Spatafora
  • Blue bench with yellow stars painted on it. Photo by Azzedine Rouichi on Unsplash

    However difficult to sell, the EU must get bigger

    Trial membership or gradual accession: the EU needs new ideas to make enlargement work. We need political creativity to implement what is a geopolitical necessity.

    Commentary
    12 November, 2025 By: Steven Everts
  • Kaja Kallas and Marta Kos on stage, in front of a screen announcing "EU 2025 enlargement package"Copyright: European Union, 2025

    The 2025 enlargement package signals a shift from rhetoric to resolve – at least for some

    The 2025 enlargement package revives optimism about EU expansion, yet deferred reforms and political hesitation among Member States threaten to stall progress — testing the Union’s readiness as much as that of its candidates.

    Commentary
    10 November, 2025 By: Bojana Zorić

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