Publications

The new EU Enlargement Package signals a decisive phase for enlargement. While enlargement partners face differing challenges, the EU’s ability to ensure that reform progress is rewarded, build political consensus and prepare for new members will be crucial.

The Democrats' midterm victory will likely constrain Trump domestically, but could make US foreign policy more unpredictable. Between now and 2028, Europe will need to engage simultaneously with the new Congress, the administration and the broader US public.

Europe is gearing up for a test of strength with China, a country that presents itself to the outside world full of self-confidence. But Europe holds better cards than it thinks, so there is every reason for an assertive China policy.

Europe's defence build-up demands sustained investment. This interactive analysis explores how EU funding, public financial institutions and private capital can complement national budgets to strengthen European defence capabilities.

Lula's surprise re-election opens new prospects for EU-Brazil relations amid geopolitical shifts. Europe should seize this opportunity to advance trade, security and industrial cooperation, while helping Brazil navigate domestic challenges and complex international partnerships.

Democratic change in Serbia may not bring immediate geopolitical realignment, but could open the door to more constructive relations with the EU. The EU and Member States should seize this chance and build a durable partnership, without expecting an immediate foreign policy shift...

Georgia’s democratic regression highlights the risks facing Serbia, where similar warning signs are emerging. As authoritarianism becomes entrenched, EU leverage diminishes, underscoring the need for earlier, more decisive action to counter democratic backsliding.

Europe faces a challenging energy outlook as winter approaches, with tight markets and Russian hybrid attacks exposing its vulnerabilities. The EU must combine targeted energy relief with swifter electrification and stronger protection of critical infrastructure.

As the global AI race accelerates, abundant, affordable and reliable energy is becoming a key source of technological power. Aligning AI infrastructure with energy availability could strengthen Europe's resilience, reduce dependencies and advance its technological ambitions.

Deeper EU-Ukraine defence industrial integration can strengthen Ukraine's ability to resist Russia while bolstering Europe's defences. Combining Kyiv's innovation and expertise with European capital, tech and demand can build a stronger shared defence industrial base.