China’s critical raw material export squeeze has proven a powerful geo-economic weapon. Initially retaliation against US tariffs and tech restrictions, Beijing’s leverage now advances its far greater ambitions.
China is powerful - but increasingly fragile. Beijing's economic vulnerabilities create both risks and leverage for Europe. How the EU can use its economic strengths to pursue a strategy of leverage-based diplomacy with Beijing.
Trump’s decision to withdraw US troops and cancel missile deployments to Germany creates new gaps in European security. Europe must strengthen its long-range strike capabilities, prepare for further US retrenchment and build support for stronger deterrence.
Syria's reconstruction will depend not only on foreign investment, but on transparent institutions and effective governance. By prioritising legal reform, public administration and anti-corruption safeguards, the EU can help prevent renewed instability and state capture.
Europe’s growing deep-strike gap threatens NATO deterrence as US support becomes less certain. European states must move faster to develop, produce and procure affordable deep-strike systems while strengthening the intelligence and targeting networks that make them effective.