Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has significantly altered regional security dynamics in the Black Sea. We explore four potential scenarios for the next decade and argue that the EU needs to invest more in the security of the region.
Amidst a climate of mounting insecurity, it is vital for the EU to define its role in the increasingly complex political landscape emerging in the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea. We examine what strategic posture the EU should adopt vis-à-vis the region.
We set out an economic deterrence action plan that outlines the steps the EU would have to take to – as effectively as possible – contribute to preventing military conflict.
China and Russia have increased their military cooperation, regularly conducting joint exercises in or near disputed areas or adversaries’ waters. The EU must closely monitor the locations, nature and objectives of these exercises to gain insight into Moscow & Beijing’s capacities, intentions and broader visions of future conflicts.