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Publications

  • Close-up of President Xi Jinping with chinese flag in the background. Copyright: European Union, 2025

    Tech war 2.0: The dangers of Trump's 'G2' bargaining with an emboldened China

    Beijing has reshaped the US-China tech war by weaponising critical minerals, forcing Washington to abandon non-negotiable controls in favour of G2-bargaining. Europe now faces growing dependence and exposure to economic coercion, and must reindustrialise with partners to protect...

    Briefs
    16 December, 2025 By: Joris Teer
  • Night-time motorway with long-exposure light trails in EU blue and yellow, converging toward the horizon. Photo by Florian Steciuk on Unsplash (colour edited)

    The cost of inaction: Why passivity is no longer an option for the European Union

    Geopolitics: Russians and Americans are making plans, to which Europeans then react with panic – that's how it usually goes these days, observes Steven Everts . This week's EU summit is a crucial moment to change this.
    Commentary
    15 December, 2025 By: Steven Everts
  • Aerial view of ocean wave | © Ivan Bandura, Unsplash

    Southern currents: Mapping the geopolitics of the South Atlantic

    The South Atlantic is emerging as a strategic arena connecting Africa and South America. Deepening security and economic ties, intensifying geopolitical competition and rising threats from organised crime create new challenges and opportunities for more proactive EU engagement.

    Briefs
    11 December, 2025 By: Rossella Marangio, Giuseppe Spatafora
  • A high voltage power line at night with long exposure. Photo by Viva Zhang on Unsplash

    Fuel, fear and falsehoods: Defending Europe and Ukraine from Russia’s hybrid energy war

    Russia is waging a hybrid energy war on Europe and Ukraine, coupling physical attacks with targeted disinformation. The EU must reinforce infrastructure resilience and strategic communications to protect citizens and counter Moscow’s manipulation of energy security narratives.

    Commentary
    10 December, 2025 By: Leonardo De Agostini, Caspar Hobhouse
  • President Putin and Special Envoy Steven Witkoff shaking hands. Credit photo: Russian President’s website

    'You can’t turn Trump into Biden': Europe needs a new approach in 2026

    As Washington’s overtures to Moscow grow, the EU risks being sidelined. Europe must adopt a more transactional strategy to safeguard its security and secure a voice in shaping the continent’s future security.

    Commentary
    3 December, 2025 By: Giuseppe Spatafora
  • President Ursula von der Leyen, walking with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy leading him to press conference. Credit photo: European Union 2025

    Europe’s chance to change the war: How to make the most of the reparation loan

    Europe must use the proposed reparation loan to shift the war’s trajectory: not just keeping Ukraine afloat but strengthening its defences, rebuilding critical infrastructure and pressuring Moscow. If targeted effectively, it can help Kyiv regain momentum and bolster Europe’s own...

    Commentary
    28 November, 2025 By: Ondrej Ditrych
  • NEO Magnet Factory in Estonia | © NPM Narva, 2025 (EC - Audiovisual Service)

    False sense of security: European complacency on rare earths is the wrong answer to the US-China trade truce

    Talk of a US–China 'trade truce' may lull Europe into a false sense of security. Beijing's export controls on rare earths and critical materials remain disruptive, unpredictable and coercive. Unless the EU accelerates de-risking, its industries and defence sector will stay...

    Commentary
    27 November, 2025 By: Joris Teer
  • Sky at sunset with different phases of the moon. Credit photo: Abed Ismail/Unsplash

    The multi-aligned Sahel: Reframing the EU’s role in a crowded region

    The Sahel remains strategic for the EU amid the threats posed by terrorism, criminal networks and rising geopolitical competition. As multi-alignment reshapes regional partnerships, the EU must place diplomacy at the core of its renewed approach, focusing on shared interests...

    Briefs
    25 November, 2025 By: Ivan U. Klyszcz, Rossella Marangio
  • Light bulbs sitting on top of a snow covered ground. Photo by Anastasiia Ornarin on Unsplash:

    Shielding democracy: A Triple C framework for turning principles into practice

    Europe faces relentless foreign interference. The newly minted European Democracy Shield can turn defensive resilience into strategic resolve by boosting coordination, expanding capacities and enforcing compliance – strengthening Europe’s ability to deter hostile actors and...

    Commentary
    21 November, 2025 By: Nad’a Kovalčíková
  • 4 military boats sailing together on sea. Credit photo: EU Navfor/Atalanta/Flickr

    Ocean of stakes: The Western Indian Ocean’s complex maritime order

    Europe’s prosperity depends on secure Western Indian Ocean routes, yet governance remains fragmented. The EU can strengthen stability by supporting the alignment of vision, resources, and partnerships across a region where strategic competition is intensifying.

    Briefs
    19 November, 2025 By: Lizza Bomassi, Rossella Marangio

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