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Publications

  • Credit photo: The White House

    The Board of Peace, Gaza, and the cost of being inside the room

    Branded as multilateral, the Board of Peace risks hollowing out multilateral legitimacy by centralising power and sidelining existing institutions. Gaza is its first test. For the EU, being ‘inside the room’ may mean influence without authority; real leverage will come from...

    Commentary
    28 January, 2026 By: Katarzyna Sidło
  • A statue of Shiva as Nataraja stands between the European Union flag and the Indian national flag indoors. Image credit: European Union, 2025

    Living with friction: Three anchors of the EU-India partnership

    The EU and India are drawing closer in response to shared pressures, but divergent threat perceptions set clear limits. Cooperation works best through a modular approach, shifting beyond trade towards practical collaboration in defence, technology and economic security amidst a...

    Briefs
    26 January, 2026 By: Lizza Bomassi
  • Donal Trump and Vladimir Putin shaking hands on tarmac in Alaska. Credit photo: DoD photo by Benjamin Applebaum, CC0

    Global Risks to the EU in 2026: What are the main conflict threats for Europe?

    The Global Risks to the EU survey highlights the most acute security risks facing the EU in 2026, as assessed by European experts. A hybrid attack on EU critical infrastructure tops the risk list, alongside threats from Russia and a US withdrawal of security guarantees.

    Commentary
    20 January, 2026 By: Veronica Anghel, Giuseppe Spatafora
  • People walking on street during night time | © Aleksandr Popov

    Europe's underestimated weak spot: Financial dependence on the US

    European countries are deeply intertwined with the United States financially. But under Trump they can no longer rely on trust, political restraint and legal certainty. Europe must reduce its financial dependence.

    Commentary
    19 January, 2026 By: Steven Everts
  • Protestors gather in Times Square against the invasion of Venezuela and kidnapping of Nicolás Maduro by the US | © SWinxy, Wikimedia.org

    Venezuela and the world: Tracking the fallout of the US ousting of Maduro

    The US ousting of Nicolás Maduro has sent shockwaves far beyond Venezuela. Responses range from outspoken support to ambiguous reactions and strong condemnation. Washington's actions in Venezuela pose both challenges and opportunities for Russia, China and countries in Latin...

    Commentary
    16 January, 2026 By: Ondrej Ditrych, Alice Ekman, Caspar Hobhouse, Rossella Marangio, Katarzyna Sidło, Giuseppe Spatafora
  • A white outdoor electrical utility box surrounded by tall green plants, with a warning sign featuring Chinese characters and a red lightning bolt indicating high voltage. Credit: Wenying Yuan via Unsplash

    The dragon in the grid: Limiting China’s influence in Europe’s energy system

    China is deeply embedded in Europe’s energy system, creating strategic and cybersecurity risks. The EU must de-risk its energy transition by tightening procurement, trade and cybersecurity rules, and prioritising European control over critical energy infrastructure.

    Briefs
    15 January, 2026 By: Caspar Hobhouse
  • Boy walking in the street with a Venezuelan flag draped over his shoulders. Photo by Andrés Silva on Unsplash

    After Maduro: The future of Venezuela and the Caribbean

    The US ousting of Maduro generates new uncertainties for Venezuela and the Caribbean. Several pathways could lead to regional instability, with direct consequences for European interests and partners. Europe must be prepared for rapid and potentially disruptive change.

    Commentary
    7 January, 2026 By: Giuseppe Spatafora
  • Two women are working in a minimal office setting, both wearing patterned headscarves. One is in the foreground facing right, partially out of frame, while the other sits in the background working on a laptop.

    Women as agents of change in the MENA region?

    Across the MENA region, women’s workforce participation remains among the world’s lowest but trends vary widely. Using data on education, labour, law and public opinion, this interactive analysis explores women’s economic empowerment and its implications for stability & security.

    Analysis
    18 December, 2025 By: Katarzyna Sidło, Tamara Noueir
  • Close-up of President Xi Jinping with chinese flag in the background. Copyright: European Union, 2025

    Tech war 2.0: The dangers of Trump's 'G2' bargaining with an emboldened China

    Beijing has reshaped the US-China tech war by weaponising critical minerals, forcing Washington to abandon non-negotiable controls in favour of G2-bargaining. Europe now faces growing dependence and exposure to economic coercion, and must reindustrialise with partners to protect...

    Briefs
    16 December, 2025 By: Joris Teer
  • Night-time motorway with long-exposure light trails in EU blue and yellow, converging toward the horizon. Photo by Florian Steciuk on Unsplash (colour edited)

    The cost of inaction: Why passivity is no longer an option for the European Union

    Geopolitics: Russians and Americans are making plans, to which Europeans then react with panic – that's how it usually goes these days, observes Steven Everts . This week's EU summit is a crucial moment to change this.
    Commentary
    15 December, 2025 By: Steven Everts

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