Publications

The fatal collapse of a concrete canopy at Novi Sad railway station in November triggered widespread protests which have amplified across Serbia in the past two months. The protests reflect a broader pattern of societal discontent that has been growing in recent years. The...

The EU needs to assume ‘strategic responsibility’ in defence, and there is now growing political support for higher EU-level defence spending. This Brief examines how the EU can develop and fund capabilities of common interest at the European level – capabilities that individual...

If the EU does not engage proactively with Washington, the new Trump 2.0 administration may proceed without taking the bloc’s interests into account. Intent on countering Chinese technological and industrial dominance, Trump 2.0 may push Europeans towards a degree of decoupling...

The Gulf of Guinea’s resources, economic potential and strategic location make it a vital area for maritime security. While piracy has declined, threats like illegal fishing, trafficking and terrorism persist. This Brief presents three scenarios with recommendations for the EU to...

It is imperative for the EU to be prepared for the prospect of negotiations on ending the war in Ukraine. In particular, because for Moscow, negotiations will be a continuation of war by other means.

The US’s three main adversaries– Russia, China and Iran – actively sought to influence the outcome of the 2024 presidential election. This Brief examines the various tactics that they employed, arguing that the EU can learn from innovative strategies put in place by the US...

Tariffs under Trump 2.0 are likely to target Europe’s exports to the US. While importing more American gas may enhance Europe’s leverage in tariff negotiations and help to offset Russian supplies , this comes at a sharp cost to European competitiveness. The EU should focus on...

The EU is increasingly concerned about strategic dependencies on Chinese technology, particularly with regard to China’s output of legacy semiconductor chips. This Brief explores what steps the EU can take to build resilience against economic security risks in this domain.

The EU is concerned that it could soon become overly reliant on legacy chips from China. This challenge poses a threat to the EU’s economic security, as China could exploit this dependency to exert influence. The infographics displayed here map Chinese legacy chip capacity as...

In the last decade, underinvestment and a lack of attention from the EU and the US has enabled states like China and Russia to expand their foothold in Latin America. Further neglect of the region could deprive the EU of key strategic partners. In the wake of Donald Trump’s re...