Publications

The latest actions of the Trump 2.0 administration have heightened fears about a dwindling US commitment to Europe. But US abandonment could manifest in different ways – as a bargaining chip or as a policy goal. To prepare for all possible scenarios, the EU and its Member States...

While Serbia continues to be gripped by mass protests, there is an atmosphere of crisis in Kosovo, where the ruling party has failed to secure a majority in parliamentary elections. The resulting climate of political uncertainty leaves the Belgrade-Pristina dialogue in limbo...

Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s decision to snub the upcoming G20 Ministerial meeting in Johannesburg has made it clear that Washington seems intent on undermining multilateralism and diplomacy. As the G20 remains a crucial forum for multilateralism, South Africa and the EU are...

It is wise for the EU not to bend too much to Trump's whims, argues Steven Everts. Europe needs to develop its own power.

Russia’s intensified involvement in West Africa, particularly in the Central Sahel, is reshaping the region’s strategic landscape and undermining Western influence. By closely monitoring media-based proxy measures of Russian engagement, EU policymakers can better detect early...

What are the biggest risks to the EU in 2025? We asked close to 400 experts to rank the likelihood and expected impact of 30 predefined risks affecting EU interests. Experts highlighted the following top risks: a bad ceasefire deal in Ukraine, US abandonment, hybrid attacks, and...

The Indo-Pacific is rapidly emerging as the world’s geopolitical and economic centre of gravity. To regain relevance, amid concerns about its long-term commitment to the region, and Southeast Asia in particular, Europe needs to recalibrate its approach and step up its engagement.

The fatal collapse of a concrete canopy at Novi Sad railway station in November triggered widespread protests which have amplified across Serbia in the past two months. The protests reflect a broader pattern of societal discontent that has been growing in recent years. The...

The EU needs to assume ‘strategic responsibility’ in defence, and there is now growing political support for higher EU-level defence spending. This Brief examines how the EU can develop and fund capabilities of common interest at the European level – capabilities that individual...