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Conflict series

  • Download Brief
    12January 2024
    The power and limits of data for peace
    By
    This Brief analyses the EU’s conflict early warning and analysis system and its role in conflict prevention, and examines how it can be further strengthened to support the EU’s preventive action.
  • Download Brief
    06December 2023
    Between a rock and a bullet: security provision and the protection of civilians in the Sahel
    By
    This Brief examines the deteriorating security situation in the Sahel. It makes the case that by eliminating a key source of competition between rival factions, a focus on the protection of civilians may help to break the escalating cycle of violence in the region.
  • Download Brief
    08November 2023
    From cyber to hearts and minds
    By
    This brief examines how Cyber Influence Operations (CIOs) blend the use of cyber force with strategic interference in the Human Domain. It argues that CIOs are akin to 'dirty bombs' in cyberspace, where their initial 'blast' disrupts infrastructures through cyberattacks before their strategic 'dispersal' targets human perception to reshape narratives and alter the power dynamics of the geopolitical chessboard.
  • Download Brief
    07July 2023
    New wine in old bottles?
    By
    According to the Renewed EU Great Lakes Strategy released in February, 20 years after it deployed its first CSDP mission to the DRC the African Great Lakes region remains a strategic priority for the EU. This Brief examines the key challenges facing the new strategy, which comes at a moment of increased tension and instability in the region.
  • Download Brief
    14June 2023
    Dogs of war: Russia's corporate warriors in armed conflicts
    By
    This Brief explores the sphere in which Russia’s state-controlled irregular armed groups operate, focusing in particular on the notorious Wagner Group and their impact on violent conflicts.
  • Download Brief
    28March 2023
    African conflictivity
    By
    While it is a key pillar of the AfCFTA , transport connectivity has the potential to either advance or hinder peacebuilding and stabilisation efforts in Africa. This Brief examines the linkage between connectivity and conflict dynamics, and how conditions can be created to ensure that connectivity successfully contributes to reducing violence and fragility in the continent.
  • Download Brief
    12July 2022
    The EU engagement in Afghanistan
    By
    Almost a year on from the chaotic international military withdrawal from Kabul, this Brief draws on a series of roundtable consultations with senior Afghan and EU policymakers to analyse the EU’s role and engagement in Afghanistan over the past two decades.
  • Download Brief
    05April 2022
    Taliban in or out?
    By
    This Brief identifies a number of critical uncertainties upon which Afghanistan’s future trajectory hinges, and asks: what conditions would allow the Taliban regime to endure over the next five years, and under what conditions might they lose their hold on power?
  • Download Brief
    02June 2021
    Salafi-Jihadism in Africa
    Violent extremism has become a growing threat in Africa. This new Brief analyses how Salafi-jihadism spreads across the continent and explores its potential future trajectories.
  • Download Brief
    18May 2021
    Implementing the peace agreement in Colombia
    This implementation of the peace agreement that was signed between the Colombian government and the rebel FARC movement in 2016 faces a variety of challenges. This Brief examines the current state of play and explores how the EU can support the implementation process and reconciliation efforts in the country.

Pages

  • Download Brief
    12January 2024
    The power and limits of data for peace
    By
    This Brief analyses the EU’s conflict early warning and analysis system and its role in conflict prevention, and examines how it can be further strengthened to support the EU’s preventive action.
  • Download Brief
    06December 2023
    Between a rock and a bullet: security provision and the protection of civilians in the Sahel
    By
    This Brief examines the deteriorating security situation in the Sahel. It makes the case that by eliminating a key source of competition between rival factions, a focus on the protection of civilians may help to break the escalating cycle of violence in the region.
  • Download Brief
    08November 2023
    From cyber to hearts and minds
    By
    This brief examines how Cyber Influence Operations (CIOs) blend the use of cyber force with strategic interference in the Human Domain. It argues that CIOs are akin to 'dirty bombs' in cyberspace, where their initial 'blast' disrupts infrastructures through cyberattacks before their strategic 'dispersal' targets human perception to reshape narratives and alter the power dynamics of the geopolitical chessboard.
  • Download Brief
    07July 2023
    New wine in old bottles?
    By
    According to the Renewed EU Great Lakes Strategy released in February, 20 years after it deployed its first CSDP mission to the DRC the African Great Lakes region remains a strategic priority for the EU. This Brief examines the key challenges facing the new strategy, which comes at a moment of increased tension and instability in the region.
  • Download Brief
    14June 2023
    Dogs of war: Russia's corporate warriors in armed conflicts
    By
    This Brief explores the sphere in which Russia’s state-controlled irregular armed groups operate, focusing in particular on the notorious Wagner Group and their impact on violent conflicts.
  • Download Brief
    28March 2023
    African conflictivity
    By
    While it is a key pillar of the AfCFTA , transport connectivity has the potential to either advance or hinder peacebuilding and stabilisation efforts in Africa. This Brief examines the linkage between connectivity and conflict dynamics, and how conditions can be created to ensure that connectivity successfully contributes to reducing violence and fragility in the continent.
  • Download Brief
    12July 2022
    The EU engagement in Afghanistan
    By
    Almost a year on from the chaotic international military withdrawal from Kabul, this Brief draws on a series of roundtable consultations with senior Afghan and EU policymakers to analyse the EU’s role and engagement in Afghanistan over the past two decades.
  • Download Brief
    05April 2022
    Taliban in or out?
    By
    This Brief identifies a number of critical uncertainties upon which Afghanistan’s future trajectory hinges, and asks: what conditions would allow the Taliban regime to endure over the next five years, and under what conditions might they lose their hold on power?
  • Download Brief
    02June 2021
    Salafi-Jihadism in Africa
    Violent extremism has become a growing threat in Africa. This new Brief analyses how Salafi-jihadism spreads across the continent and explores its potential future trajectories.
  • Download Brief
    18May 2021
    Implementing the peace agreement in Colombia
    This implementation of the peace agreement that was signed between the Colombian government and the rebel FARC movement in 2016 faces a variety of challenges. This Brief examines the current state of play and explores how the EU can support the implementation process and reconciliation efforts in the country.

Pages

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