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Commentary

  • Boy walking in the street with a Venezuelan flag draped over his shoulders. Photo by Andrés Silva on Unsplash

    After Maduro: The future of Venezuela and the Caribbean

    The US ousting of Maduro generates new uncertainties for Venezuela and the Caribbean. Several pathways could lead to regional instability, with direct consequences for European interests and partners. Europe must be prepared for rapid and potentially disruptive change.

    Commentary
    7 January, 2026 By: Giuseppe Spatafora
  • Night-time motorway with long-exposure light trails in EU blue and yellow, converging toward the horizon. Photo by Florian Steciuk on Unsplash (colour edited)

    The cost of inaction: Why passivity is no longer an option for the European Union

    Geopolitics: Russians and Americans are making plans, to which Europeans then react with panic – that's how it usually goes these days, observes Steven Everts . This week's EU summit is a crucial moment to change this.
    Commentary
    15 December, 2025 By: Steven Everts
  • A high voltage power line at night with long exposure. Photo by Viva Zhang on Unsplash

    Fuel, fear and falsehoods: Defending Europe and Ukraine from Russia’s hybrid energy war

    Russia is waging a hybrid energy war on Europe and Ukraine, coupling physical attacks with targeted disinformation. The EU must reinforce infrastructure resilience and strategic communications to protect citizens and counter Moscow’s manipulation of energy security narratives.

    Commentary
    10 December, 2025 By: Leonardo De Agostini, Caspar Hobhouse
  • President Putin and Special Envoy Steven Witkoff shaking hands. Credit photo: Russian President’s website

    'You can’t turn Trump into Biden': Europe needs a new approach in 2026

    As Washington’s overtures to Moscow grow, the EU risks being sidelined. Europe must adopt a more transactional strategy to safeguard its security and secure a voice in shaping the continent’s future security.

    Commentary
    3 December, 2025 By: Giuseppe Spatafora
  • President Ursula von der Leyen, walking with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy leading him to press conference. Credit photo: European Union 2025

    Europe’s chance to change the war: How to make the most of the reparation loan

    Europe must use the proposed reparation loan to shift the war’s trajectory: not just keeping Ukraine afloat but strengthening its defences, rebuilding critical infrastructure and pressuring Moscow. If targeted effectively, it can help Kyiv regain momentum and bolster Europe’s own...

    Commentary
    28 November, 2025 By: Ondrej Ditrych
  • NEO Magnet Factory in Estonia | © NPM Narva, 2025 (EC - Audiovisual Service)

    False sense of security: European complacency on rare earths is the wrong answer to the US-China trade truce

    Talk of a US–China 'trade truce' may lull Europe into a false sense of security. Beijing's export controls on rare earths and critical materials remain disruptive, unpredictable and coercive. Unless the EU accelerates de-risking, its industries and defence sector will stay...

    Commentary
    27 November, 2025 By: Joris Teer
  • Light bulbs sitting on top of a snow covered ground. Photo by Anastasiia Ornarin on Unsplash:

    Shielding democracy: A Triple C framework for turning principles into practice

    Europe faces relentless foreign interference. The newly minted European Democracy Shield can turn defensive resilience into strategic resolve by boosting coordination, expanding capacities and enforcing compliance – strengthening Europe’s ability to deter hostile actors and...

    Commentary
    21 November, 2025 By: Nad’a Kovalčíková
  • Delegates and participants at the opening day of the COP30 United Nations Climate Change Conference in Belém, Pará, Brazil | ©  European Union, 2025

    Paris Agreement to power politics: The EU's climate leadership in a time of contestation

    As global climate ambition stalls and geopolitical rivalry deepens, the EU faces a choice: retreat or compete. Europe must recast climate diplomacy as a strategy for energy security and industrial strength – and seize its chance to lead.

    Commentary
    18 November, 2025 By: Caspar Hobhouse
  • U.S. Navy aircraft carrier Gerald R. Ford under a bright sun, an American flag waving prominently. Several fighter jets are parked on the flight deck, while a formation of military aircraft flies overhead against a blue sky with scattered clouds. Credit photo:  U.S. Department of Defense. The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoW) visual information does not imply or constitute DoW endorsement.

    Warm waters: The Caribbean between counter-narcotics operations and the prospects of regime change

    A major US military build-up is under way in the Caribbean, officially to target drug-trafficking networks. But the scale of the deployment raises questions about possible regime-change ambitions in Venezuela and reflects the broader foreign-policy experiments shaping Trump’s...

    Commentary
    14 November, 2025 By: Giuseppe Spatafora
  • Blue bench with yellow stars painted on it. Photo by Azzedine Rouichi on Unsplash

    However difficult to sell, the EU must get bigger

    Trial membership or gradual accession: the EU needs new ideas to make enlargement work. We need political creativity to implement what is a geopolitical necessity.

    Commentary
    12 November, 2025 By: Steven Everts

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