Our experts analyse the political, security and geopolitical transformations reshaping Africa, from evolving conflicts and governance challenges to economic, demographic and climate-related pressures. We examine how African countries and regional organisations are navigating a more competitive international environment and increasing their agency, how their partnerships and priorities are evolving, and what these shifts mean for EU-Africa relations.
This Brief seeks to explain why the EU should be alerted about the increase in hybrid threats in Africa and how they are becoming a critical security concern in an already fragile environment.
Addressing the possibility of declining investments and donor fatigue as a result of Covid-19, the third Brief in the Imagine Africa series explores what would happen if, for the first time in more than 60 years, Africa stops receiving development assistance and foreign...
This Brief analyses Africa’s biggest resource: its youth. A boom in the continent’s young population is driving rapid population growth. Depending on how future trends play out, this could result in either a demographic dividend or a demographic time-bomb.
This policy Brief opens the EUISS Imagine Africa series and taps into Afrobarometer survey data to map Africans' aspirations for the next decade.
Violent extremism has become a growing threat in Africa. This new Brief analyses how Salafi-jihadism spreads across the continent and explores its potential future trajectories.
This Brief examines the oil-conflict nexus and analyses the effects of the recent pandemic-induced oil price shock on three vulnerable, conflict-affected countries.
Among the multiple possible futures for Africa, this publication has selected a favourable one, leading to integration, peace and prosperity.
Early warning systems (EWS) are at the heart of conflict prevention strategies. This Brief argues that the gap between early warning and early action persists because of challenges in transforming early warning policy recommendations into early response.
The 12 scenarios presented in this Chaillot Paper draw attention to the cost of inaction in a variety of areas, ranging from Russia to Africa, from cyberspace to environmental matters.
Despite routine declarations that connect Sahelian terrorism to climatic and environmental factors, available scientific evidence does not allow us to conclude whether (and what) climatic factors impact (and how) conflict variability and terrorism. This Brief explores why.