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Sanctions, conflict and democratic backsliding

01 June 2022

Clara Portela

This Brief presents an overview of EU sanctions policy, the rationales guiding their imposition and the expected impacts, focusing on the two types of situations in which the EU usually applies its measures: violent conflict and democratic backsliding.

The EU's civilian headquarters

16 May 2022

Edited by

Giovanni Faleg

With contributions from

Elisabetta Bellocchi, Carina Böttcher, Torsten M. Hoffmann, Ana E. Juncos, Birgit Loeser, Francisco Esteban Pérez, Tobias Pietz, Nicoletta Pirozzi, Mohamed Tabit

This Chaillot Paper charts the development of the Civilian Planning and Conduct Capability (CPCC) over the past 15 years, showing how the EU civilian HQ has adapted to cope with a growing demand for civilian CSDP deployments.

China and the battle of coalitions

06 May 2022

Alice Ekman

This Chaillot Paper identifies the tactics and strategy used by China to expand its circle of friends.

Taliban in or out?

05 April 2022

Viola Fee Dreikhausen, Florence Gaub

This Brief identifies a number of critical uncertainties upon which Afghanistan’s future trajectory hinges, and asks: what conditions would allow the Taliban regime to endure over the next five years, and under what conditions might they lose their hold on power?

Becoming a military district

14 March 2022

András Rácz

With Belarus now playing an active enabling role in the Russian military invasion of Ukraine, this Brief analyses how military cooperation between Russia and Belarus has deepened since 2020.

African spaces

10 March 2022

Edited by

Giovanni Faleg

With contributions from

Eyob Balcha Gebremariam, Fergus Kell, Katariina Mustasilta, Luigi Narbone, Carlo Palleschi, Patryk Pawlak, Luca Raineri, Jeanne Ramier, Norman Sempijja, Alex Vines, Sean Woolfrey

Global powers are increasingly scrambling to project influence in Africa. This Chaillot Paper asks the question: what are the emerging spaces where power competition is taking place in the African continent?

Rising hybrid threats in Africa

03 March 2022

Giovanni Faleg, Nad’a Kovalčíková

This Brief seeks to explain why the EU should be alerted about the increase in hybrid threats in Africa and how they are becoming a critical security concern in an already fragile environment.

Europe's energy crisis conundrum

28 January 2022

Yana Popkostova

The energy crisis that engulfed Europe in 2021 continues to be a major source of concern. This Brief looks at the causes of the crisis, analyses its impacts and proposes strategic responses to enhance the EU’s resilience to energy market volatility as it pursues its ambitious decarbonisation strategy.

What if...not? The cost of assumptions

21 January 2022

Edited by

Florence Gaub

With contributions from

Marie Brethous, Viola Fee Dreikhausen, Alice Ekman, Giovanni Faleg, Daniel Fiott, Florence Gaub, Nad’a Kovalčíková, Gustav Lindstrom, Patryk Pawlak, Yana Popkostova, Stanislav Secrieru

This Chaillot Paper focuses on untested and unverified assumptions about the future, and their impact on foresight.

What if Africa stops receiving foreign aid?

20 January 2022

Darlington Tshuma

Addressing the possibility of declining investments and donor fatigue as a result of Covid-19, the third Brief in the Imagine Africa series explores what would happen if, for the first time in more than 60 years, Africa stops receiving development assistance and foreign investment.

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Sanctions, conflict and democratic backsliding

The EU's civilian headquarters

China and the battle of coalitions

Taliban in or out?

Becoming a military district

African spaces

Rising hybrid threats in Africa

Europe's energy crisis conundrum

What if...not? The cost of assumptions

What if Africa stops receiving foreign aid?

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