After the high-stakes Alaska and Washington summits, Europe has managed to hold the line, buying time and keeping Ukraine at the centre of transatlantic diplomacy. Yet, Trump’s commitment remains a doubt, Putin will continue to disrupt the process and the battle over security...
In the wake of the NATO summit at The Hague, doubts over America’s commitment to European security will persist. Ultimately, this is what US disengagement looks like. Europeans must adapt to this new reality and take greater responsibility for their own defence.
Ukraine should be able to say no to a bad deal between Trump and Putin. This is achievable, provided we focus on what truly matters and realise that Ukraine holds more cards than Trump may think.
Diverging US and European approaches to ending the war in Ukraine are increasingly apparent. Europe must rise to the challenge and exert pressure on Russia to accept ceasefire terms that will lay the groundwork for a sustainable peace – a real peace grounded in geopolitical...
In the face of shifting US politics and fossil fuel pressures, the EU must hold steady on its energy transition. It's methodical, rules-based approach to climate and energy policy is not just an asset—it’s a geopolitical strength.
Europe must beware of the trap of the 'China option' as an automatic response to Trump's hostilities. What Europe has to do is play a smart game and seize Chinese attempts at a rapprochement to obtain real concessions.
With the advent of Trump’s tariffs, the EU has once again found itself caught in the crossfire of great power geo-economic ambitions. It must respond by prioritising EU and partner industries, cutting red tape, and boosting energy production.
The best way for NATO to survive might be to make its structure less reliant on the US. European countries and Canada can do so by increasing their share of the defence burden and by developing European capabilities.
A commentary series exploring how the EU can navigate an increasingly volatile strategic landscape, and chart its course through the tornado unleashed by Trump 2.0.