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Showing 1-10 of 14 results

The future of African migration and mobility

31 August 2022
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This fourth Brief in the Imagine Africa series examines the issue of population movement and migratory flows – both within and outside Africa – and seeks to identify likely changes in future migration patterns, and how these will impact on the partnership between the AU and the EU.

What if Africa stops receiving foreign aid?

20 January 2022
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Addressing the possibility of declining investments and donor fatigue as a result of Covid-19, the third Brief in the Imagine Africa series explores what would happen if, for the first time in more than 60 years, Africa stops receiving development assistance and foreign investment.

Arab youth futures

29 September 2021
By
A survey conducted among young people in the Middle East early in 2021 probed how this generation feels about the future. The results belie the perception that young people in the region are pessimistic or fatalistic, instead highlighting a relative optimism, and concerns over issues that they feel will be of particular importance in their future, such as healthcare and political representation.

How the Islamic State sees the future

21 April 2021
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Since Islamic State lost its territory in Iraq and Syria, it has adapted its future script according to its circumstances. This Brief explores how the organisation invests in and manipulates an end-of-times narrative that exerts strong appeal for its followers, and will influence its next steps.

Strategic foresight in China

11 March 2021
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The second in our series of Foresight Briefs shows how the function of strategic foresight has not been conceptualised in China to the same degree as in the West. However, the notions of disruptive ‘black swan’ and ‘grey rhino’ events have gained currency among Chinese analysts in recent years.

How Russia does foresight

29 January 2021
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Foresight plays an important role in defence planning and is an essential part of Russian military science. Despite some similarities to Western perspectives, there are distinctive aspects to Russian foresight thinking, which places particular emphasis on geopolitical and geoeconomic developments.

Unboxing the future

14 August 2020
By
Policy experts and decision-makers can improve their ability to think about the future in a number of ways, including by admitting that future developments may invalidate current assumptions and actions. This Brief shows how applying the discipline of strategic foresight to the field of security and foreign policy would promote a greater awareness of changes occurring in the present and enhance the ability to take wiser decisions.

Uncharted territory? Towards a common threat analysis and a Strategic Compass for EU security and defence

09 July 2020
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Despite the direction offered by the EU Global Strategy, there is as yet no common approach to how member state governments understand threats to the EU’s security. Under the new Strategic Compass initiative – designed to provide enhanced politico-strategic direction for EU security and defence – member state governments and institutions will conduct their own threat analysis as a first step in a 2-year process. This Brief examines how a clearer understanding of such threats can help the EU to achieve its level of ambition in this area.

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