What if...not? The cost of assumptions
This Chaillot Paper focuses on untested and unverified assumptions about the future, and their impact on foresight.
This Chaillot Paper focuses on untested and unverified assumptions about the future, and their impact on foresight.
This Chaillot Paper shows that successfully tackling climate change in MENA will depend on decisions taken both in the region and outside. Assisting the Arab world in meeting the challenges posed by climate change will be a matter of strategic importance for Europe.
This paper tackles one of the wickedest of questions: how should the EU cooperate with partner governments which collude with criminals?
Among the multiple possible futures for Africa, this publication has selected a favourable one, leading to integration, peace and prosperity.
The 12 scenarios presented in this Chaillot Paper draw attention to the cost of inaction in a variety of areas, ranging from Russia to Africa, from cyberspace to environmental matters.
The volume presents 15 fictionalised scenarios that imagine how future conflicts might occur. These scenarios contribute to, and at times challenge, the existing body of assumptions concerning the genesis of conflict, its likelihood and how it might play out.
This Chaillot Paper seeks to provide readers with ambitious foresight analysis and insights on how to be prepared for unexpected twists and turns in Russia’s future trajectory.
According to a famous science fiction film, the future is what you make of it. This Chaillot Paper takes this quote from Back to the Future to heart, proposing 14 different portraits of the future for the year 2024.
At first glance, the MENA appears particularly unsuited to conducting foresight exercises due to its many disruptive and surprising developments. But it is precisely because the region features so many sudden events that foresight here is crucial. This Chaillot Paper opens with three scenarios which lay out the regional state of affairs in 2030, with the catalysts or agents of change elaborated thereafter.
The 150th Chaillot Paper produced by the EUISS, this publication aims to alert decision-makers to potential developments with significant strategic impact while they can still prepare for, or even avoid them.