The transatlantic relationship has been the cornerstone of the EU’s foreign and security policy. However, in a context where some in the US are looking inwards and questioning the values and institutions their country has built internationally, expectations on Europe have increased. The rise of new global power centres has added a new dimension to transatlantic debates, and both sides of the Atlantic must redefine the relationship to preserve security and prosperity, as well as maintain influence in an emerging international system where the 'West’– may no longer be dominant.
The EU has also cultivated and institutionalised relations with Canada and many countries of Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). Recent changes in the international context have made the EU a more attractive partner to LAC countries, which are facing economic slowdowns, rising criminality and problems related to the rule of law. However, the increasing contestation of democratic values (which used to bind LAC countries together) has put regional institutions under pressure and strained relations with the EU.
The Caribbean is facing major geopolitical upheaval as the US increases pressure on Venezuela and Cuba. Regional actors are recalibrating their strategies in response. The EU should not ignore this region given its relevance to Europe’s own security.
Trump and Xi are unlikely to strike a grand bargain in Beijing. Instead, the summit will centre on managing rivalry, preserving fragile trade and technology truces, and containing geopolitical tensions that could further destabilise the global economy.
Trump’s decision to withdraw US troops and cancel missile deployments to Germany creates new gaps in European security. Europe must strengthen its long-range strike capabilities, prepare for further US retrenchment and build support for stronger deterrence.
Donald Trump’s second term has defied expectations of isolationism. This interactive publication uses data and visuals to map the main axes of US foreign policy under Trump 2.0: military intervention, the ‘peace-business’ nexus, trade deals, and defence ties with Europe.
The Global Risks to the EU survey highlights the most acute security risks facing the EU in 2026, as assessed by European experts. A hybrid attack on EU critical infrastructure tops the risk list, alongside threats from Russia and a US withdrawal of security guarantees.
European countries are deeply intertwined with the United States financially. But under Trump they can no longer rely on trust, political restraint and legal certainty. Europe must reduce its financial dependence.
The US ousting of Nicolás Maduro has sent shockwaves far beyond Venezuela. Responses range from outspoken support to ambiguous reactions and strong condemnation. Washington's actions in Venezuela pose both challenges and opportunities for Russia, China and countries in Latin...
The US ousting of Maduro generates new uncertainties for Venezuela and the Caribbean. Several pathways could lead to regional instability, with direct consequences for European interests and partners. Europe must be prepared for rapid and potentially disruptive change.
The South Atlantic is emerging as a strategic arena connecting Africa and South America. Deepening security and economic ties, intensifying geopolitical competition and rising threats from organised crime create new challenges and opportunities for more proactive EU engagement.
As Washington’s overtures to Moscow grow, the EU risks being sidelined. Europe must adopt a more transactional strategy to safeguard its security and secure a voice in shaping the continent’s future security.
