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United States

  • Mark Carney walking next to Roberta Metsola and Ursula von der Leyen. European Union, 2026.

    The EU's first associate member? How to make EU-Canada ties stronger and tighter

    The momentum is there for Europe and Canada to take their partnership to a new level. A political agreement shaping the vision for 'associate membership' status, together with stronger sectoral cooperation, could enable them to do just that.

    Commentary
    17 September, 2026 By: Giuseppe Spatafora
  • Four military jets are flying in formation against a clear blue sky. Image credit to NATO on Flickr.

    More arrows to Europe's quiver: How to manage transatlantic relations beyond the midterms

    The transatlantic relationship has come under strain in 2026 but has not collapsed. Hopes that the US midterms will ease tensions may be misplaced. To navigate the next two years, Europe needs a versatile playbook that combines cooperation with resilience to coercion.

    Briefs
    15 September, 2026 By: Giuseppe Spatafora
  • Ursula von der Leyen and Mark Rutte at the NATO Summit 2026. Image credit to the European Commission.

    After the NATO summit: The road to European leadership in defence

    Following NATO's summit in Ankara, Europe must move beyond capability development. It is time to assume leadership for defence planning, rehearse for fighting with less US support, and ensure coherence between the various political frameworks.

    Commentary
    10 July, 2026 By: Luigi Scazzieri, Giuseppe Spatafora
  • Handshake between Wang Wentao and Maros Sefcovic. Image credit to the European Commission.

    Europe does not need new trade weapons – it needs to pull the trigger

    Europe does not need new trade defence measures to respond to China's export surge. It needs to use its existing powers more decisively to deter coercion, strengthen its negotiating position and restore competitiveness.

    Commentary
    7 July, 2026 By: Tim Rühlig
  • Silhouettes of soldiers walking as sun is setting. Credit photo: Army Pfc. Kadence Connors, US department of war. The appearance of US Department of War visual information does not imply or constitute DoW endorsement

    Small changes, big impact: How Trump’s latest decision removes a key component of Europe’s deterrence

    Trump’s decision to withdraw US troops and cancel missile deployments to Germany creates new gaps in European security. Europe must strengthen its long-range strike capabilities, prepare for further US retrenchment and build support for stronger deterrence.

    Commentary
    7 May, 2026 By: Giuseppe Spatafora
  • US President Trump speaking at the UN General Assembly in September 2025.

    The Foreign Policy-First President? US external action under Trump 2.0 – in data

    Donald Trump’s second term has defied expectations of isolationism. This interactive publication uses data and visuals to map the main axes of US foreign policy under Trump 2.0: military intervention, the ‘peace-business’ nexus, trade deals, and defence ties with Europe.

    Analysis
    4 February, 2026 By: Giuseppe Spatafora
  • Credit photo: The White House

    The Board of Peace, Gaza, and the cost of being inside the room

    Branded as multilateral, the Board of Peace risks hollowing out multilateral legitimacy by centralising power and sidelining existing institutions. Gaza is its first test. For the EU, being ‘inside the room’ may mean influence without authority; real leverage will come from...

    Commentary
    28 January, 2026 By: Katarzyna Sidło
  • People walking on street during night time | © Aleksandr Popov

    Europe's underestimated weak spot: Financial dependence on the US

    European countries are deeply intertwined with the United States financially. But under Trump they can no longer rely on trust, political restraint and legal certainty. Europe must reduce its financial dependence.

    Commentary
    19 January, 2026 By: Steven Everts
  • Protestors gather in Times Square against the invasion of Venezuela and kidnapping of Nicolás Maduro by the US | © SWinxy, Wikimedia.org

    Venezuela and the world: Tracking the fallout of the US ousting of Maduro

    The US ousting of Nicolás Maduro has sent shockwaves far beyond Venezuela. Responses range from outspoken support to ambiguous reactions and strong condemnation. Washington's actions in Venezuela pose both challenges and opportunities for Russia, China and countries in Latin...

    Commentary
    16 January, 2026 By: Ondrej Ditrych, Alice Ekman, Caspar Hobhouse, Rossella Marangio, Katarzyna Sidło, Giuseppe Spatafora
  • President Putin and Special Envoy Steven Witkoff shaking hands. Credit photo: Russian President’s website

    'You can’t turn Trump into Biden': Europe needs a new approach in 2026

    As Washington’s overtures to Moscow grow, the EU risks being sidelined. Europe must adopt a more transactional strategy to safeguard its security and secure a voice in shaping the continent’s future security.

    Commentary
    3 December, 2025 By: Giuseppe Spatafora

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