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Syria

  • A woman holding the Syrian flag on top of a car | © Omar Ramadan, Unsplash

    Geopolitical miscalculations: The case against Russia’s presence in Syria

    Russia is now coordinating with the US in response to last week's deadly outbreak of sectarian violence in Syria. Some countries, in particular Israel, believe that Russia's presence in Syria can provide a counterweight to growing Turkish influence. But it is clear that continued...
    Commentary
    14 March, 2025 By: Katarzyna Sidło
  • A wind farm at dusk | © Unsplash, Dan Meyers

    Energising Syria's future

    After years of war, Syria's energy system is in ruins. The EU can actively contribute to rebuilding the country's energy sector. It will need to balance strong support for Syria's reconstruction with awareness of the new geopolitical dynamics of energy in the post-Assad era.

    Commentary
    7 March, 2025 By: Caspar Hobhouse
  • How the Islamic State sees the future

    Since Islamic State lost its territory in Iraq and Syria, it has adapted its future script according to its circumstances. This Brief explores how the organisation invests in and manipulates an end-of-times narrative that exerts strong appeal for its followers, and will influence...

    Briefs
    21 April, 2021 By: Florence Gaub
  • Conflicts to come

    The volume presents 15 fictionalised scenarios that imagine how future conflicts might occur. These scenarios contribute to, and at times challenge, the existing body of assumptions concerning the genesis of conflict, its likelihood and how it might play out.

    Chaillot Papers
    18 December 2020 Edited by: Florence Gaub
  • Arab Futures 2.0

    At first glance, the MENA appears particularly unsuited to conducting foresight exercises due to its many disruptive and surprising developments. But it is precisely because the region features so many sudden events that foresight here is crucial. This Chaillot Paper opens with...

    Chaillot Papers
    19 September 2019 By: Florence Gaub
  • Russia’s return to the Middle East: building sandcastles?

    Russia’s political, diplomatic, military and economic footprint in the Middle East and North Africa has expanded visibly over the last decade. This Chaillot Paper provides a detailed account of Russia’s spectacular return to the region.

    Chaillot Papers
    31 July 2018 Edited by: Nicu Popescu, Stanislav Secrieru
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    Arab wars: calculating the costs

    Since the end of the Second World War, 2.3 million citizens in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) have died as a result of political violence. This Brief explains what needs to be known about conflict in the MENA in order to support peace in the region.

    Briefs
    4 October 2017 By: Florence Gaub
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    Balkan foreign fighters: from Syria to Ukraine

    This Brief focuses on the phenomenon of foreign fighters originating from the Western Balkans, and how countries in the region apply double standards in this regard, categorising Islamist foreign fighters as terrorists, whereas right-wing nationalist combatants who have fought in...

    Briefs
    16 June 2017 By: Jelena Beslin, Marija Ignjatijevic
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    Out of Syria: shifting routes and returns

    As the Syrian conflict grows in complexity, so too do the flows of people inside the country and into the neighbouring region. This Alert identifies three major shifts which will affect migration flows.

    Alerts
    12 April 2017 By: Roderick Parkes
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    The EU migration crisis – Getting the numbers right

    The 2015 migration crisis revealed gaps in the EU’s migration-related statistics. This Brief looks at how unreliable migration data can be manipulated, and seeks to reverse the narratives which are put forward by certain actors in order to pursue their own agendas.

    Briefs
    5 April 2017 By: Roderick Parkes, Annelies Pauwels

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