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Strategic foresight in China

11 March 2021
The second in our series of Foresight Briefs shows how the function of strategic foresight has not been conceptualised in China to the same degree as in the West. However, the notions of disruptive ‘black swan’ and ‘grey rhino’ events have gained currency among Chinese analysts in recent years.

Conflicts to come

18 December 2020
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The volume presents 15 fictionalised scenarios that imagine how future conflicts might occur. These scenarios contribute to, and at times challenge, the existing body of assumptions concerning the genesis of conflict, its likelihood and how it might play out.

What if...? 14 futures for 2024

24 January 2020
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According to a famous science fiction film, the future is what you make of it. This Chaillot Paper takes this quote from Back to the Future to heart, proposing 14 different portraits of the future for the year 2024.

What if....? Scanning the horizon: 12 scenarios for 2021

25 January 2019
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The 150th Chaillot Paper produced by the EUISS, this publication aims to alert decision-makers to potential developments with significant strategic impact while they can still prepare for, or even avoid them.

Chinese futures: horizon 2025

19 July 2017

This Report - the outcome of a dedicated EUISS Task Force - seeks to decipher what kind of global actor we can expect China to be, given its growing international profile and ambitions. What do current trends indicate regarding the direction of its future foreign and security policy in Asia and beyond? And how can Europe engage with its Chinese partner while securing its own position and interests?

Horizon 2014: Central Asia

30 January 2014

The countries of Central Asia face a multitude of security challenges ranging from rising ethnic tensions to widespread corruption. This alert provides an overview of the major trends in a vital region which is all too often overlooked.