Chaillot Papers are the Institute's flagship publication. Written by the Institute’s Analysts, as well as external experts and based on collective work or individual research, they deal with all subjects of current relevance to the Union’s security.

  • The future of conflict prevention

    Looking ahead to the horizon of 2030, this Chaillot Paper analyses the need for a conflict prevention approach in the face of three megatrends that will have far-reaching global repercussions.

  • The EU’s arms control challenge

    Our new Chaillot Paper highlights the key role the EU can play in building the intellectual groundwork for the emergence of a new arms control treaty system to replace those agreements which are currently being abandoned.

  • African Futures 2030

    Among the multiple possible futures for Africa, this publication has selected a favourable one, leading to integration, peace and prosperity.

  • What if...not? The cost of inaction

    The 12 scenarios presented in this Chaillot Paper draw attention to the cost of inaction in a variety of areas, ranging from Russia to Africa, from cyberspace to environmental matters.

  • How Covid-19 changed the future

    This Chaillot Paper examines two dimensions: it assesses the geopolitical trends the pandemic is perceived as having accelerated, and the scope for innovation and far-reaching change induced by the crisis.

  • Conflicts to come

    The volume presents 15 fictionalised scenarios that imagine how future conflicts might occur. These scenarios contribute to, and at times challenge, the existing body of assumptions concerning the genesis of conflict, its likelihood and how it might play out.

  • Relationship therapy: making Arab police reform work

    This Chaillot Paper looks at the police in the Arab world – an institution at the centre of political life but one that is very much under-researched. After years of attempts at reform, it seems that not much progress has been made in reducing corruption and violence, or...

  • Russian Futures 2030

    This Chaillot Paper seeks to provide readers with ambitious foresight analysis and insights on how to be prepared for unexpected twists and turns in Russia’s future trajectory.

  • African Strategies

    This Chaillot Paper analyses the evolution of EU member states’ strategies towards sub-Saharan Africa, as well as those of global actors, against the backdrop of systemic changes, including the implications of the Covid-19 pandemic. It seeks to identify the points of convergence...