The momentum is there for Europe and Canada to take their partnership to a new level. A political agreement shaping the vision for 'associate membership' status, together with stronger sectoral cooperation, could enable them to do just that.
The transatlantic relationship has come under strain in 2026 but has not collapsed. Hopes that the US midterms will ease tensions may be misplaced. To navigate the next two years, Europe needs a versatile playbook that combines cooperation with resilience to coercion.
Russia's shadow fleet is changing in response to mounting European pressure. The EU must respond by widening its legal options, expanding efforts to target those involved in illicit activities, and more actively pursuing the seizure of vessels and cargoes.
Deeper EU-Ukraine defence industrial integration can strengthen Ukraine's ability to resist Russia while bolstering Europe's defences. Combining Kyiv's innovation and expertise with European capital, tech and demand can build a stronger shared defence industrial base.
