On 5 November 2024, the citizens of the United States will elect their 47th president. After President Biden’s decision to withdraw his candidacy this summer, the two candidates are former President Donald Trump and sitting Vice-President Kamala Harris. Their positions on many issues are radically different, including the United States’ role in the world. The US presidential election will thus have far-reaching consequences for the EU’s own foreign policy. Its outcome will affect the course of Russia’s war against Ukraine, the conflict in the Middle East, tensions in the Indo-Pacific, and the strength of transatlantic ties. Brussels must be ready for whatever is to come. In this report, we explore how a Trump or a Harris presidency would affect key flashpoints around the world. For each issue, we spell out the strategic stakes for EU foreign policy and the choices this entails.
This report is an extension of the interactive map 'The US Election: What choices for Europe?', produced by Giuseppe Spatafora and Christian Dietrich.
