Giuseppe Spatafora interviewed by the New Union Post

"We still do not know how realistic a full US withdrawal from NATO is, but it remains unlikely," cautioned Giuseppe Spatafora in an interview with the New Union Post. He noted that the extent of any US disengagement will determine both the areas in which Europe would need to act on its own and the degree of urgency.

He noted that, while countries such as Ukraine and Türkiye "can provide certain assets, [...] they cannot fully replace the US security umbrella within NATO." Instead, he argued, space for them should be carved out through flexible formats of ad hoc coalitions, allowing them to contribute in ways that help offset any potential shortfall in US firepower – "both literal and metaphorical".

He he noted that, although countries like Ukraine and Türkiye can contribute valuable capabilities, they are not in a position to fully replace the US' security role within NATO. Instead, he argued, space for them should be carved out through flexible formats of ad hoc coalitions, which can help to mitigate "potential shortfall in US firepower, both tangible and intangible."