Global Risks to the EU is the first large-scale pan-European effort to assess expert perceptions of threats to the bloc’s security. After its launch in 2025, the report continues to identify the biggest threats to the EU on a yearly basis.
In 2026, the top security risk identified is a major strike on EU critical infrastructure – subsea sabotage, power-grid shutdowns, or similar.
Other high-impact risks include:
- A ceasefire in Ukraine on Russia’s terms
- American withdrawal from security guarantees to European allies
- New Russian military action in non-NATO neighbouring states.
On 20 January 2026, the EUISS and the European University Institute (EUI) will gather EU policy makers, journalists, and think-tank representatives to present the results of the survey and identify how the EU should best prepare for these risks.
Programme
WELCOME WORDS
- Steven EVERTS, Director, EUISS
- Erik JONES, Director, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, EUI
PRESENTATION OF SURVEY RESULTS
Veronica ANGHEL, Professor, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, EUI
GLOBAL RISKS AND THE EU'S PRIORITIES: A CONVERSATION WITH POLICYMAKERS AND PRACTITIONERS
Moderator: Giuseppe SPATAFORA, Research analyst, EUISS
Speakers:
- HE Petros MAVRIKIOS, PSC Ambassador, Permanent Representation of the Republic of Cyprus to the European Union
- Cosmin DOBRAN, Director for Peace, Partnerships and Crisis Management, European External Action Service
- Veronica ANGHEL, Professor, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, EUI
- Ellen FRANCIS, Brussels Bureau Chief, The Washington Post
WELCOME WORDS
- Steven EVERTS, Director, EUISS
- Erik JONES, Director, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, EUI