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Digital technologies and civil conflicts

19 February 2021
The use of digital technologies in intra-state conflicts has become more frequent. This Brief sheds light on some of the risks associated with their use and how these can negatively impact mediation or negotiation efforts in civil conflicts, and examines how peacemakers might address them.

Pivoting to African conflict prevention?

09 February 2021
Early warning systems (EWS) are at the heart of conflict prevention strategies. This Brief argues that the gap between early warning and early action persists because of challenges in transforming early warning policy recommendations into early response.

Appeasement and autonomy

01 February 2021
This Brief explores Armenia’s Russia policy after the 2018 Velvet Revolution in the light of the country’s defeat in the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war, resulting in a larger regional role for Turkey, which has exacerbated Armenia’s security dilemma.

How Russia does foresight

29 January 2021
Foresight plays an important role in defence planning and is an essential part of Russian military science. Despite some similarities to Western perspectives, there are distinctive aspects to Russian foresight thinking, which places particular emphasis on geopolitical and geoeconomic developments.

Conflicts to come

18 December 2020
Edited by

The volume presents 15 fictionalised scenarios that imagine how future conflicts might occur. These scenarios contribute to, and at times challenge, the existing body of assumptions concerning the genesis of conflict, its likelihood and how it might play out.

Sovereignty over supply?

17 December 2020
The outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic has heightened fears about the EU’s trade, resources and technology dependencies. This Brief outlines the challenges facing the Union’s supply security and explores how any EU trade diversification strategy needs to tackle three core risk factors: state fragility, economic coercion and climate change.

The European space sector as an enabler of EU strategic autonomy

16 December 2020

This study looks at the ways in which the European space sector can be an enabler of EU strategic autonomy. It asks how should the EU understand space and strategic autonomy, what has the EU achieved in space and how this has contributed to the EU’s strategic autonomy and what more is needed to enhance it.

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