This Brief shows how, despite the distinct lack of regional integration, the MENA is a continuous space when it comes to conflict. What does the emergence of this ‘conflict Schengen’ mean for wars – and long-suffering civilians – in the region?
Arab futures: three scenarios for 2025
Report - No22 - 17 February 2015
Florence Gaub, Alexandra Laban
This report is the outcome of three sessions that convened a group of experts, the Arab Foresight Group, during 2014. It takes into account projections made by a wide array of organisations and is based to the maximum extent possible on available data.
It reduces speculation to a bare minimum, and identifies the relative certainties or 'megatrends' which concern the Middle East region and which are not likely to change over the next decade; perhaps more importantly, it also identifies six game-changers: those areas where policy-makers will influence the course of events by their choices. Depending on these choices, three probable scenarios have been hypothesised for the year 2025.
In the media/comments
The Report 'Arab futures: three scenarios for 2025', was cited in the Mauritanian newspaper.
Aqlame (in Arabic)
The EUISS Report 'Arab futures: three scenarios for 2025' was mentioned in the Moroccan outlet.